Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 332.254739 378.575619 430.794203 494.371176 570.154936 658.181060 769.017644
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 270.340851 331.667484 407.666416 510.219760 647.253098 827.379675 1087.803954
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 232.327649 298.860799 386.559641 513.405647 697.008266 961.132136 1385.622415
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 202.048590 269.233362 362.002165 503.561377 721.865992 1059.946373 1654.401561
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 182.479751 250.611204 348.545946 505.220453 761.062028 1185.315333 1998.485742
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 163.606840 230.186944 329.047497 493.458781 775.104154 1270.337499 2294.794140
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 150.069444 215.866045 316.532441 490.140688 801.426986 1380.920534 2674.952866
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 134.270019 196.344058 293.466221 465.635248 785.364937 1407.791858 2885.892934
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 129.391203 193.317178 296.322629 485.726179 854.525122 1618.061496 3596.355540
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 126.369623 192.855829 303.171972 513.658054 943.970744 1894.504788 4602.636511
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 119.249240 184.892160 296.228299 514.708254 978.470466 2056.566959 5375.038267
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 110.499451 173.412569 281.935935 499.586753 975.436493 2127.710193 5906.844286
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 102.591684 162.943710 268.811763 485.825759 974.699911 2209.287264 6538.621411
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 99.379173 160.436794 270.030228 501.562171 1045.458761 2503.773585 8146.690384
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 94.862764 155.203277 265.574856 504.674451 1086.549386 2729.225883 9668.450607
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 89.277738 147.591739 255.843932 495.039127 1093.794678 2856.363026 10869.215198
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 85.460516 142.942938 251.447025 496.663082 1130.748765 3091.048566 12828.315964
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 80.582313 135.964578 241.819019 485.149743 1130.133925 3201.269470 14242.770017
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 76.942933 131.087570 236.027396 481.901442 1152.163463 3400.474485 16432.251704
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 71.581345 122.583790 222.171347 457.907754 1110.364567 3351.923504 16969.353689
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 70.684679 122.660742 226.110547 477.579604 1201.803694 3853.381536 22181.074489
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 70.430281 123.966281 232.742443 504.921640 1324.033066 4547.422490 30542.749926
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 67.981643 120.723180 229.283206 505.949503 1362.418148 4896.303185 36588.663504